| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.0% | 63% | -12.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.3% | 53.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| logistic | 51.7% | 48.3% |
| Timo Legout | Daniel Milavsky | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1550 | 1545 |
| Surface Elo | 1550 | 1545 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Daniil Ostapenkov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Igor Marcondes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Tristan Boyer | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Colton Smith | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Daniel Milavsky | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Timo Legout | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Federico Agustin Gomez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Federico Agustin Gomez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | Lloyd Harris | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | Rei Sakamoto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Daniel Milavsky | 1 - 2 | Timo Legout |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.58 | 63.3% | 22 Sep 06:15 |