OgaOods

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Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-10-04

NFL · Sunday 04 October 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished

Cincinnati Bengals – 17 - 22 – Jacksonville Jaguars

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	56.4%	42%	+14.1%	✓ hit

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	43.6%	56.4%

Inputs the models saw

	Cincinnati Bengals	Jacksonville Jaguars
playoff	0.00
elo diff	-0.10
form diff	-0.25
rest diff	0.00
home field	1.00
point diff	-0.82
opponent strength diff	-0.02
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-10-03T17:00:00+00:00

Cincinnati Bengals: last 5

27 Sep	A	Pittsburgh Steelers	27 - 30	L
20 Sep	A	Houston Texans	20 - 6	W
13 Sep	H	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	33 - 27	W
04 Jan	H	Cleveland Browns	18 - 20	L
28 Dec	H	Arizona Cardinals	37 - 14	W

Jacksonville Jaguars: last 5

27 Sep	H	New England Patriots	35 - 6	W
20 Sep	A	Denver Broncos	13 - 20	L
13 Sep	H	Cleveland Browns	34 - 10	W
11 Jan	H	Buffalo Bills	24 - 27	L
04 Jan	H	Tennessee Titans	41 - 7	W

Head to head

14 Sep 2025	Cincinnati Bengals	31 - 27	Jacksonville Jaguars
05 Dec 2023	Jacksonville Jaguars	31 - 34	Cincinnati Bengals
01 Oct 2021	Cincinnati Bengals	24 - 21	Jacksonville Jaguars
04 Oct 2020	Cincinnati Bengals	33 - 25	Jacksonville Jaguars
20 Oct 2019	Cincinnati Bengals	17 - 27	Jacksonville Jaguars
05 Nov 2017	Jacksonville Jaguars	23 - 7	Cincinnati Bengals
02 Nov 2014	Cincinnati Bengals	33 - 23	Jacksonville Jaguars
30 Sep 2012	Jacksonville Jaguars	10 - 27	Cincinnati Bengals
09 Oct 2011	Jacksonville Jaguars	20 - 30	Cincinnati Bengals
02 Nov 2008	Cincinnati Bengals	21 - 19	Jacksonville Jaguars

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	1.70	58.8%	04 Oct 15:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	2.29	43.7%	04 Oct 15:20

Generated 2026-10-30 17:03 UTC