| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.2% | 61% | -6.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 51.1% | 33.7% |
| xgboost | 62.4% | 35.8% |
| logistic | 59.3% | 40.7% |
| Utah Utah Hockey Club | Toronto Maple Leafs | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1518 | 1406 |
| Surface Elo | 1518 | 1406 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.67 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Buffalo Sabres | 4 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Boston Bruins | 1 - 6 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | New Jersey Devils | 5 - 3 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | New York Rangers | 2 - 4 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Columbus Blue Jackets | 4 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Colorado Avalanche | 6 - 3 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Vegas Golden Knights | 3 - 4 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Nashville Predators | 5 - 4 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Ottawa Senators | 2 - 3 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | New York Islanders | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 6 - 1 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| 06 Nov 2025 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 5 - 3 | Utah Utah Hockey Club |
| 11 Mar 2025 | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 3 - 4 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| 25 Nov 2024 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 3 - 2 | Utah Utah Hockey Club |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.64 | 61.0% | 13 Oct 20:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 13 Oct 20:20 |