| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.4% | 69% | -8.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.2% | 42.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 71.3% | 28.7% |
| logistic | 58.4% | 41.6% |
| Kyrian Jacquet | Michael Mmoh | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1816 | 1733 |
| Surface Elo | 1816 | 1733 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.10 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Oct | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Rei Sakamoto | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Tianhui Zhang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Jaume Munar | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Jaume Munar | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Jan Kumstat | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Luca Nardi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Laslo Djere | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Luca Nardi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Daniel Rincon | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.90 | 34.5% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.44 | 69.4% | 19 Oct 06:15 |