| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.0% | 76% | -11.3% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 87.9% | 92% | -4.1% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 84.3% | 90% | -5.8% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% | 71% | -16.0% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.7% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 59.1% | 22.9% | 17.9% |
| xgboost | 74.5% | 15.1% | 10.3% |
| logistic | 73.2% | 19.0% | 7.8% |
| Como | Venezia | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1819 | 1568 |
| Surface Elo | 1819 | 1568 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.50 | 0.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 27 Oct | A | Torino | 3 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Torino | 3 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Sassuolo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Sassuolo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Man Utd | 4 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Inter | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Inter | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Genoa | 0 - 1 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Genoa | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Napoli | 1 - 0 | W |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Como | 1 - 1 | Venezia |
| 08 Dec 2024 | Venezia | 2 - 2 | Como |
| 03 Mar 2024 | Como | 2 - 1 | Venezia |
| 20 Aug 2023 | Venezia | 3 - 0 | Como |
| 01 Apr 2023 | Venezia | 3 - 2 | Como |
| 06 Nov 2022 | Como | 1 - 0 | Venezia |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 9.20 | 10.9% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 6.40 | 15.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.31 | 76.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.40 | 71.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.00 | 33.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |