| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 73.6% | 83% | -9.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 26.4% | 73.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 12.7% | 87.3% |
| logistic | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Sinja Kraus | Nikola Bartunkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1467 | 1703 |
| Surface Elo | 1467 | 1703 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Oct | H | Dayana Yastremska | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Anastasia Potapova | 1 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Maya Joint | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Nikola Bartunkova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Dayana Yastremska | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Aryna Sabalenka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Magdalena Frech | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Mirra Andreeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Karolina Muchova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Sinja Kraus | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Nikola Bartunkova | 2 - 1 | Sinja Kraus |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.22 | 82.0% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.60 | 21.7% | 06 Oct 06:15 |