| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.2% | 34% | +21.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 39.7% | 60.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 55.3% | 44.7% |
| logistic | 40.5% | 59.5% |
| Evan Zhu | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1341 | 1458 |
| Surface Elo | 1341 | 1458 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | A | Alex Bolt | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Hanyi Liu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Xia, Zhiheng | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Henry Searle | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Alafia Ayeni | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Keisuke Saitoh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Arthur Weber | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Philip Sekulic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Martin Borisiouk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.00 | 33.3% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.36 | 73.5% | 05 Oct 06:15 |