| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.9% | 71% | -5.8% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 86.6% | 92% | -5.9% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 82.8% | 88% | -5.7% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.6% | 62% | -6.9% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.8% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 62.7% | 20.8% | 16.5% |
| xgboost | 74.8% | 13.0% | 12.2% |
| logistic | 68.8% | 19.4% | 11.8% |
| Hamilton | Montrose | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1606 | 1460 |
| Surface Elo | 1606 | 1460 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 2.67 | 1.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.33 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 1.60 |
| Rest days | 3 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 7 W | 0 W · 2 D |
| 27 Oct | A | Ross County | 1 - 1 | D |
| 27 Oct | A | Ross County | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | East Fife | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | East Fife | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Airdrieonians FC | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Peterhead | 3 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Peterhead | 3 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | East Kilbride | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | East Kilbride | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Ross County | 0 - 5 | L |
| 01 Aug 2026 | Montrose | 0 - 5 | Hamilton |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Montrose | 0 - 2 | Hamilton |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Hamilton | 1 - 1 | Montrose |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Montrose | 0 - 4 | Hamilton |
| 02 Aug 2025 | Hamilton | 2 - 0 | Montrose |
| 20 Apr 2024 | Montrose | 1 - 2 | Hamilton |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Hamilton | 1 - 1 | Montrose |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Montrose | 0 - 3 | Hamilton |
| 26 Aug 2023 | Hamilton | 1 - 0 | Montrose |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.00 | 16.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.60 | 21.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.44 | 69.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.60 | 62.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |