| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 72.4% | 80% | -7.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 70.9% | 29.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 82.5% | 17.5% |
| logistic | 75.5% | 24.5% |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | Aleksandar Kovacevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1955 | 1672 |
| Surface Elo | 1955 | 1672 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 13 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Taylor Fritz | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Taylor Fritz | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Matteo Berrettini | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Matteo Berrettini | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Lloyd Harris | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Lloyd Harris | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 1 - 2 | Stefanos Tsitsipas |
| 27 Aug 2026 | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 2 - 0 | Stefanos Tsitsipas |
| 19 Feb 2024 | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 0 - 2 | Stefanos Tsitsipas |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.30 | 23.3% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.24 | 80.7% | 20 Oct 06:15 |