| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.9% | 48.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 74.1% | 25.8% |
| logistic | 64.4% | 35.6% |
| Daniil Medvedev | Jan Lennard Struff | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2022 | 1819 |
| Surface Elo | 2022 | 1819 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | H | Rodrigo Alujas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Pablo Carreno Busta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Pablo Carreno Busta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Andrey Rublev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Andrey Rublev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | Alejandro Tabilo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | Roman Andres Burruchaga | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Aug | A | Alex Michelsen | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jul | H | Mariano Navone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Jul 2026 | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 3 | Jan Lennard Struff |
| 24 Feb 2025 | Daniil Medvedev | 2 - 0 | Jan Lennard Struff |
| 10 Feb 2025 | Daniil Medvedev | 2 - 0 | Jan Lennard Struff |
| 01 Jul 2024 | Daniil Medvedev | 3 - 1 | Jan Lennard Struff |
| 28 Jun 2021 | Daniil Medvedev | 3 - 1 | Jan Lennard Struff |
| 14 Jun 2021 | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | Jan Lennard Struff |
| 12 Aug 2019 | Daniil Medvedev | 2 - 0 | Jan Lennard Struff |
| 20 Feb 2017 | Daniil Medvedev | 2 - 1 | Jan Lennard Struff |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||