| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win selected | 63.0% | 55% | +8.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.8% | 53.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 22.0% | 78.0% |
| logistic | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Gonzalo Villanueva | Guido Ivan Justo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1557 | 1596 |
| Surface Elo | 1557 | 1596 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 63 | 56 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Guido Ivan Justo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | H | Matteo Martineau | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | H | Ilya Ivashka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Jul | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | H | Stefano Napolitano | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Facundo Mena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Gonzalo Villanueva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Jul | H | Juan Bautista Torres | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Jul | A | Diego Dedura | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Gonzalo Villanueva | 1 - 2 | Guido Ivan Justo |
| 23 Feb 2026 | Gonzalo Villanueva | 0 - 2 | Guido Ivan Justo |
| 28 Apr 2025 | Gonzalo Villanueva | 0 - 2 | Guido Ivan Justo |
| 17 Apr 2023 | Gonzalo Villanueva | 1 - 2 | Guido Ivan Justo |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.83 | 54.6% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.91 | 52.4% | 21 Sep 06:15 |