| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.1% | no line |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 58.6% | 26.6% |
| xgboost | 49.8% | 49.4% |
| logistic | 59.4% | 40.6% |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | Detroit Red Wings | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1586 | 1435 |
| Surface Elo | 1586 | 1435 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.67 | 0.46 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.67 | 2.85 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.17 | 2.92 |
| Rest days | 5 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 3 W 路 0 D |
| 29 Oct | H | Winnipeg Jets | 6 - 4 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 4 - 5 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Colorado Avalanche | 3 - 6 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Vegas Golden Knights | 6 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Vancouver Canucks | 4 - 2 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | Chicago Blackhawks | 4 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Edmonton Oilers | 4 - 3 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Calgary Flames | 1 - 4 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Vancouver Canucks | 5 - 2 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Seattle Kraken | 3 - 4 | L |
| 13 Apr 2026 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 4 - 3 | Detroit Red Wings |
| 12 Mar 2026 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 4 - 1 | Detroit Red Wings |
| 28 Nov 2025 | Detroit Red Wings | 3 - 6 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| 17 Oct 2025 | Detroit Red Wings | 2 - 1 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| 11 Apr 2025 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 3 - 4 | Detroit Red Wings |
| 08 Feb 2025 | Detroit Red Wings | 3 - 6 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| 26 Jan 2025 | Detroit Red Wings | 2 - 0 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| 19 Jan 2025 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 5 - 1 | Detroit Red Wings |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||