OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-04
🎾 WTA Beijing, China Women Singles · Sunday 04 October 2026, 11:00 UTC · finished
Sara Bejlek 1.80 0 - 2 2.40 Naomi Osaka
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 65.4%76%-10.3%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov35.2%64.8%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost32.2%67.8%
logistic31.1%68.9%
Inputs the models saw
Sara BejlekNaomi Osaka
Elo (pre-match)16601879
Surface Elo16601879
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.802.40
Form trend0.000.30
Season points per game2.003.00
Season goals for / game1.332.00
Season goals against / game0.671.00
Rest days22
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Sara Bejlek: last 5
02 OctHMaddison Inglis2 - 0W
30 SepANaomi Osaka0 - 2L
30 SepAMaddison Inglis2 - 0W
17 SepACristina Bucsa0 - 2L
15 SepAAlycia Parks2 - 0W
Naomi Osaka: last 5
02 OctAMaria Timofeeva2 - 1W
30 SepAKarolina Muchova1 - 2L
30 SepHSara Bejlek2 - 0W
30 SepAMaria Timofeeva2 - 1W
30 AugAElena Rybakina0 - 2L
Head to head
30 Sep 2026Naomi Osaka2 - 0Sara Bejlek
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.3275.8%04 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.5528.2%04 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 23:28 UTC