| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.9% | 73% | -10.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.2% | 41.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 77.9% | 22.0% |
| logistic | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| Dylan Dietrich | Abdullah Shelbayh | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1648 | 1602 |
| Surface Elo | 1648 | 1602 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.83 | 1.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.71 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 02 Oct | A | Darwin Blanch | 1 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Andrew Fenty | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Wolf, Jeffrey John | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Andy Andrade | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Mitchell Krueger | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Aidan Mayo | 1 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Daniil Ostapenkov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Li Tu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Dylan Dietrich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Abdullah Shelbayh | 0 - 2 | Dylan Dietrich |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.95 | 33.9% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.37 | 73.0% | 04 Oct 06:15 |