| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 45.2% | 31% | +14.0% | |
| DC | Home or away | 74.5% | 75% | -0.3% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 59.9% | 44% | +15.6% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 48.4% | 62% | -13.4% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.7% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 31.4% | 33.0% | 35.7% |
| xgboost | 33.6% | 17.7% | 48.7% |
| logistic | 25.0% | 28.2% | 46.7% |
| Leganes | Burgos | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1377 | 1582 |
| Surface Elo | 1377 | 1582 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 0.20 | 1.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.40 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 4 W · 2 D |
| 10 Nov | A | CF Trival Valderas Alcoron | 1 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | CD Colonia Moscardo | 2 - 2 | D |
| 07 Nov | H | Albacete | 1 - 3 | L |
| 07 Nov | H | Albacete | 1 - 3 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Valladolid | 3 - 4 | L |
| 07 Nov | H | Celta B | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Nov | H | Celta B | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Castellon | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Nov | H | Castellon | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Oct | A | CD Laredo | 4 - 2 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Burgos | 2 - 1 | Leganes |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Leganes | 1 - 2 | Burgos |
| 22 Jan 2024 | Leganes | 2 - 0 | Burgos |
| 04 Oct 2023 | Burgos | 1 - 0 | Leganes |
| 12 May 2023 | Burgos | 0 - 3 | Leganes |
| 18 Sep 2022 | Leganes | 0 - 0 | Burgos |
| 23 Jan 2022 | Burgos | 4 - 0 | Leganes |
| 23 Aug 2021 | Leganes | 0 - 0 | Burgos |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.20 | 45.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.62 | 61.7% | 12 Nov 06:15 |