OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-27
⚽ Germany DFB Pokal · Tuesday 27 October 2026, 19:45 UTC · finished
Borussia Dortmund 2.20 3 - 2 1.80 Werder Bremen
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 65.0%70%-4.9%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 88.6%89%-0.1%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 85.0%85%-0.4%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58.3%67%-8.4%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 58.6%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson68.7%18.5%12.8%
xgboost68.8%20.6%10.6%
logistic69.3%20.3%10.4%
Inputs the models saw
Borussia DortmundWerder Bremen
Elo (pre-match)18061590
Surface Elo18061590
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.201.80
Form trend0.20-0.20
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)6 W1 W · 3 D
Borussia Dortmund: last 5
24 OctHEintracht Frankfurt1 - 0W
24 OctHEintracht Frankfurt1 - 0W
20 OctASabah Masazir2 - 1W
17 OctAUnion Berlin0 - 0D
17 OctAUnion Berlin0 - 0D
Werder Bremen: last 5
24 OctAMainz3 - 2W
24 OctAMainz3 - 2W
17 OctHPaderborn2 - 2D
17 OctHPaderborn2 - 2D
09 OctABorussia Dortmund2 - 2D
Head to head
09 Oct 2026Borussia Dortmund2 - 2Werder Bremen
09 Oct 2026Borussia Dortmund2 - 2Werder Bremen
16 May 2026Werder Bremen0 - 2Borussia Dortmund
13 Jan 2026Borussia Dortmund3 - 0Werder Bremen
25 Jan 2025Borussia Dortmund2 - 2Werder Bremen
31 Aug 2024Werder Bremen0 - 0Borussia Dortmund
09 Mar 2024Werder Bremen1 - 2Borussia Dortmund
20 Oct 2023Borussia Dortmund1 - 0Werder Bremen
11 Feb 2023Werder Bremen0 - 2Borussia Dortmund
20 Aug 2022Borussia Dortmund2 - 3Werder Bremen
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away6.8414.6%27 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw5.2818.9%27 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.4469.4%27 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5066.7%27 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.7037.0%27 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:54 UTC