OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-18
⚽ Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 18 October 2026, 10:15 UTC · finished
Zwolle 0.20 4 - 1 0.80 Go Ahead Eagles
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 47.8%50%-2.2%✗ miss
DCHome or away 75.8%79%-3.4%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 61.7%66%-4.5%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 59.4%68%-8.2%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 58.4%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson28.6%23.6%47.8%
xgboost31.6%25.5%42.9%
logistic26.1%30.2%43.7%
Inputs the models saw
ZwolleGo Ahead Eagles
Elo (pre-match)14391539
Surface Elo14391539
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.200.80
Form trend0.10-0.20
Season points per game0.001.00
Season goals for / game0.002.00
Season goals against / game1.002.00
Rest days67
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W4 W · 4 D
Zwolle: last 5
11 OctHCambuur0 - 1L
11 OctHCambuur0 - 1L
18 SepAGroningen0 - 3L
13 SepHFeyenoord0 - 7L
04 SepASparta Rotterdam2 - 2D
Go Ahead Eagles: last 5
10 OctHSparta Rotterdam3 - 3D
10 OctHSparta Rotterdam3 - 3D
20 SepANijmegen1 - 1D
20 SepANijmegen1 - 1D
12 SepHGroningen1 - 1D
Head to head
05 Apr 2026Go Ahead Eagles5 - 0Zwolle
21 Sep 2025Zwolle0 - 2Go Ahead Eagles
11 May 2025Zwolle1 - 1Go Ahead Eagles
03 Nov 2024Go Ahead Eagles2 - 2Zwolle
11 Feb 2024Go Ahead Eagles1 - 1Zwolle
17 Sep 2023Zwolle1 - 1Go Ahead Eagles
03 Apr 2022Zwolle0 - 1Go Ahead Eagles
19 Sep 2021Go Ahead Eagles1 - 0Zwolle
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.0050.0%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.8925.7%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.4229.2%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4867.6%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.6537.7%16 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:18 UTC