| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.1% | 65% | -7.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 40.1% | 59.9% |
| logistic | 44.8% | 55.2% |
| Lukas Neumayer | Luka Mikrut | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1698 | 1766 |
| Surface Elo | 1698 | 1766 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Sep | H | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | D`Agostino, Stefano | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Luka Mikrut | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Stefano D'Agostino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Kimmer Coppejans | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Federico Iannaccone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Marvin Moeller | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Lukas Neumayer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Luka Mikrut | 2 - 0 | Lukas Neumayer |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.53 | 65.4% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 25 Sep 06:15 |