| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.9% | 54% | +1.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.6% | 55.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 65.9% | 34.0% |
| logistic | 52.2% | 47.8% |
| Ryan Seggerman | Mitchell Krueger | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1545 | 1529 |
| Surface Elo | 1545 | 1529 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 94 | 24 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Sep | A | Aidan Mayo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Mitchell Krueger | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Aidan Mayo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Jun | A | Laslo Djere | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jun | A | Luca Wiedenmann | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Keegan Smith | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Michael Zheng | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Ryan Seggerman | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Keegan Smith | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Mitchell Krueger | 2 - 1 | Ryan Seggerman |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.92 | 52.1% | 17 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.82 | 54.9% | 17 Sep 06:15 |