| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.0% | 75% | -9.2% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 72.6% | 27.4% |
| logistic | 65.1% | 34.9% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Learner Tien | Zachary Svajda | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1939 | 1780 |
| Surface Elo | 1939 | 1780 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 8 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Zachary Svajda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Hubert Hurkacz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Hubert Hurkacz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Karen Khachanov | 2 - 3 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Jakub Mensik | 3 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Learner Tien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Fabian Marozsan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Fabian Marozsan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Sep | A | Arthur Gea | 1 - 3 | L |
| 02 Sep | A | Daniel Altmaier | 3 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Learner Tien | 2 - 0 | Zachary Svajda |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.35 | 74.1% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| 1xBet | h2h | Zachary Svajda | 3.33 | 30.0% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.36 | 73.5% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Zachary Svajda | 3.10 | 32.3% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.33 | 75.2% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Zachary Svajda | 3.40 | 29.4% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.37 | 73.0% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Zachary Svajda | 3.65 | 27.4% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Learner Tien | 1.38 | 72.5% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Zachary Svajda | 3.70 | 27.0% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.36 | 73.5% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Zachary Svajda | 3.25 | 30.8% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.31 | 76.3% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Zachary Svajda | 3.45 | 29.0% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.33 | 75.2% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Zachary Svajda | 3.35 | 29.8% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| GTbets | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.32 | 75.8% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| GTbets | h2h | Zachary Svajda | 3.42 | 29.2% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.33 | 75.2% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Zachary Svajda | 3.30 | 30.3% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.37 | 73.0% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Zachary Svajda | 3.65 | 27.4% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Learner Tien | 1.38 | 72.5% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Zachary Svajda | 3.70 | 27.0% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.31 | 76.3% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Zachary Svajda | 3.45 | 29.0% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.35 | 74.1% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Zachary Svajda | 3.49 | 28.6% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.28 | 78.1% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Zachary Svajda | 3.15 | 31.8% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.45 | 29.0% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.33 | 75.2% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| Tipico | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.27 | 78.7% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Tipico | h2h | Zachary Svajda | 3.40 | 29.4% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.28 | 78.1% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Zachary Svajda | 3.20 | 31.2% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.33 | 75.2% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Zachary Svajda | 3.30 | 30.3% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.33 | 75.2% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Zachary Svajda | 3.30 | 30.3% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.36 | 73.5% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Zachary Svajda | 3.10 | 32.3% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.33 | 75.2% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Zachary Svajda | 3.55 | 28.2% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.31 | 76.3% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Zachary Svajda | 3.45 | 29.0% | 10 Oct 06:01 |