| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.9% | 57% | +1.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.2% | 53.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 34.2% | 65.8% |
| logistic | 46.7% | 53.3% |
| Samir Banerjee | Henry Bernet | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1531 | 1558 |
| Surface Elo | 1531 | 1558 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Sep | A | Eero Vasa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Minasyan, Michael | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Nov | A | Adrian Boitan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Rinky Hijikata | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Petrovic, Andreja | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Karl Friberg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Christian Sigsgaard | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Matej Dodig | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Stefano Napolitano | 1 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.74 | 57.5% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.98 | 50.5% | 26 Sep 06:15 |