| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.1% | 66% | -14.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 58.2% | 41.8% |
| logistic | 46.9% | 53.1% |
| Oliver Tarvet | Laslo Djere | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1682 | 1720 |
| Surface Elo | 1682 | 1720 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.33 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | A | Francesco Maestrelli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Diego Dedura Palomero | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Laslo Djere | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Francesco Maestrelli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Mathys Erhard | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Dominic Stricker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Daniil Glinka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Pedro Martinez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Hynek Barton | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Oliver Tarvet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Laslo Djere | 2 - 0 | Oliver Tarvet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.51 | 66.2% | 08 Oct 06:15 |