| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.7% | 86% | -26.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.1% | 40.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 74.1% | 25.8% |
| logistic | 45.8% | 54.2% |
| John Echeverria | Kris Van Wyk | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1458 | 1509 |
| Surface Elo | 1458 | 1509 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.25 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Oct | H | Luca Wiedenmann | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Felix Roussel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Thiago Agustin Pernas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Lars Goran Verwerft | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Oliver Tarvet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Picard, Mathys | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Anas Mazdrashki | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Freire Da Silva, Adan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Tuncay Duran | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Lars Goran Verwerft | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.65 | 21.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.16 | 86.2% | 10 Oct 06:15 |