| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 74.8% | 83% | -7.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 41.1% | 58.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 14.2% | 85.7% |
| logistic | 34.6% | 65.4% |
| Nicolas Kicker | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1593 | 1731 |
| Surface Elo | 1593 | 1731 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | A | Tomas Martinez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Facundo Mena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Hugo Dellien | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Tomas Martinez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Aug | A | Maxim Mrva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Nicolas Kicker | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Matej Dodig | 0 - 1 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Hugo Dellien | 1 - 2 | Nicolas Kicker |
| 23 Jan 2023 | Hugo Dellien | 2 - 1 | Nicolas Kicker |
| 25 Oct 2021 | Hugo Dellien | 2 - 0 | Nicolas Kicker |
| 27 Sep 2021 | Hugo Dellien | 2 - 0 | Nicolas Kicker |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.21 | 82.6% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.15 | 24.1% | 23 Sep 06:15 |