| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.7% | 70% | -12.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.4% | 50.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 60.4% | 39.5% |
| logistic | 55.8% | 44.2% |
| Massimo Giunta | Henry Searle | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1491 | 1466 |
| Surface Elo | 1491 | 1466 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.17 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 17 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Gianluca Cadenasso | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Max Wiskandt | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Pavel Lagutin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Maxim Zhukov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Alejandro Moro Canas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Dylan Dietrich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Liam Draxl | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Evan Zhu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Timo Legout | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Jun | A | Ethan Quinn | 1 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.44 | 69.4% | 13 Oct 06:15 |