| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 80.4% | 91% | -10.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 76.8% | 23.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 96.1% | 3.8% |
| logistic | 82.6% | 17.4% |
| Alexander Zverev | Yibing Wu | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2171 | 1766 |
| Surface Elo | 2171 | 1766 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 4 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Oct | H | Yibing Wu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Novak Djokovic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Novak Djokovic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Juncheng Shang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Juncheng Shang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Alexander Zverev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Michael Zheng | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Michael Zheng | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Sep | A | Carlos Alcaraz | 0 - 3 | L |
| 02 Sep | A | James Duckworth | 3 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct 2026 | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 0 | Yibing Wu |
| 22 May 2023 | Alexander Zverev | 1 - 0 | Yibing Wu |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 7.75 | 12.9% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.10 | 90.9% | 08 Oct 06:15 |