| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 71.0% | 76% | -5.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 77.3% | 22.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 73.2% | 26.7% |
| logistic | 73.4% | 26.6% |
| Filip Misolic | Daniel Siniakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1645 | 1379 |
| Surface Elo | 1645 | 1379 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Rest days | 1 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Michele Ribecai | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Izan Almazan Valiente | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Felix Gill | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Dominik Recek | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Patrick Schoen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Vrba, Jakub | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Pietro Marino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Yanaki Milev | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.25 | 30.8% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.31 | 76.3% | 19 Oct 06:15 |