OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-28
🇮🇹 Serie A · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 17:30 UTC · finished
Parma 0.60 0 - 0 0.00 Udinese
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 44.8%35%+9.8%✗ miss
DCHome or away 75.3%73%+2.5%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 57.4%50%+7.4%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 54.8%47%+8.3%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 55.8%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson31.9%29.4%38.7%
xgboost52.6%22.2%25.2%
logistic38.5%28.5%33.0%
Inputs the models saw
ParmaUdinese
Elo (pre-match)15801569
Surface Elo15801569
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.600.00
Form trend0.300.00
Season points per game0.500.50
Season goals for / game0.631.13
Season goals against / game1.882.25
Rest days32
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W4 W · 2 D
Parma: last 5
24 OctALazio1 - 2L
24 OctALazio1 - 2L
19 OctHTorino0 - 3L
10 OctAInter0 - 3L
10 OctAInter0 - 3L
Udinese: last 5
25 OctHAc Milan0 - 2L
25 OctHAc Milan0 - 2L
18 OctHLecce0 - 3L
18 OctHLecce0 - 3L
12 OctATorino1 - 2L
Head to head
18 Apr 2026Udinese0 - 1Parma
29 Nov 2025Parma0 - 2Udinese
01 Mar 2025Udinese1 - 0Parma
16 Sep 2024Parma2 - 3Udinese
21 Feb 2021Parma2 - 2Udinese
18 Oct 2020Udinese3 - 2Parma
26 Jan 2020Parma2 - 0Udinese
01 Sep 2019Udinese1 - 3Parma
19 Jan 2019Udinese1 - 2Parma
19 Aug 2018Parma2 - 2Udinese
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.3842.0%28 Oct 17:30
Bet3651X2draw3.2530.8%28 Oct 17:30
Bet3651X2home3.1032.3%28 Oct 17:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over2.0548.8%28 Oct 17:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.8055.6%28 Oct 17:30
SportyBet1X2away2.8135.6%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.2630.7%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.8135.6%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.1047.6%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.7756.5%28 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:15 UTC