| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 44.8% | 43% | +2.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.4% | 76% | -1.1% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 59.4% | 58% | +1.1% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.5% | 58% | +2.3% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 61.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.2% | 27.3% | 25.5% |
| xgboost | 40.9% | 26.0% | 33.1% |
| logistic | 41.7% | 25.7% | 32.7% |
| Napoli | Lazio | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1767 | 1802 |
| Surface Elo | 1767 | 1802 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 4 W · 2 D |
| 04 Nov | A | Porto | 1 - 4 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Juventus | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Juventus | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Monza | 4 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Monza | 4 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Cagliari | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Cagliari | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Sassuolo | 6 - 2 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Sassuolo | 6 - 2 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Sudtirol | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Napoli | 0 - 2 | Lazio |
| 04 Jan 2026 | Lazio | 0 - 2 | Napoli |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Lazio | 2 - 2 | Napoli |
| 08 Dec 2024 | Napoli | 0 - 1 | Lazio |
| 28 Jan 2024 | Lazio | 0 - 0 | Napoli |
| 02 Sep 2023 | Napoli | 1 - 2 | Lazio |
| 03 Mar 2023 | Napoli | 0 - 1 | Lazio |
| 03 Sep 2022 | Lazio | 1 - 2 | Napoli |
| 27 Feb 2022 | Lazio | 1 - 2 | Napoli |
| 28 Nov 2021 | Napoli | 4 - 0 | Lazio |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.05 | 32.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.65 | 27.4% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.34 | 42.7% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.72 | 58.1% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |