| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.6% | 66% | -10.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.2% | 40.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 40.9% | 59.0% |
| logistic | 66.4% | 33.6% |
| Matteo Berrettini | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1830 | 1686 |
| Surface Elo | 1830 | 1686 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.80 | 0.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Brandon Nakashima | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Brandon Nakashima | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Mattia Bellucci | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Mattia Bellucci | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Dalibor Svrcina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Dalibor Svrcina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.51 | 66.2% | 25 Oct 06:15 |