| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.5% | 79% | -14.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.3% | 50.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 19.2% | 80.7% |
| logistic | 46.3% | 53.7% |
| Michael Vrbensky | Olle Wallin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1497 | 1510 |
| Surface Elo | 1497 | 1510 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 76 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Jul | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Nov | H | Yasutaka Uchiyama | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Nov | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | James Duckworth | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Sidharth Rawat | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Lukas Neumayer | 0 - 1 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Marco Cecchinato | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Tiago Cacao | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Lukas Neumayer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Marco Cecchinato | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.27 | 78.7% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.50 | 28.6% | 11 Oct 06:15 |