| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.0% | 59% | -5.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.1% | 56.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 60.1% | 39.9% |
| logistic | 51.7% | 48.3% |
| Alex Hernandez | Tristan McCormick | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1401 | 1386 |
| Surface Elo | 1401 | 1386 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Oct | H | Miles Clark | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Adrian Boitan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Alan Magadan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Jul | H | Bernard Tomic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Tyler Mercier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Jul | A | Facundo Mena | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jul | A | Pedro Sakamoto | 1 - 0 | W |
| 16 Feb | A | Stefan Kozlov | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.04 | 49.0% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.70 | 58.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |