OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
🇪🇸 La Liga · Saturday 10 October 2026, 12:00 UTC · abandoned
Vallecano 1.40 12:00 1.60 Athletic Club
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 47.2%36%+10.8%abandoned
DCHome or away 75.0%74%+0.9%abandoned
DNBHome (DNB) 59.3%51%+8.5%abandoned
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 54.1%52%+2.4%abandoned
BTTSBTTS yes 55.4%no lineabandoned
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson37.5%29.6%32.9%
xgboost37.9%26.0%36.1%
logistic34.3%27.4%38.3%
Inputs the models saw
VallecanoAthletic Club
Elo (pre-match)16541609
Surface Elo16541609
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.401.60
Form trend-0.200.00
Season points per game1.141.33
Season goals for / game1.571.17
Season goals against / game2.291.00
Rest days2120
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W7 W · 2 D
Vallecano: last 5
19 SepALeganes1 - 4L
19 SepAOsasuna1 - 1D
15 SepHEspanol2 - 1W
12 SepAReal Madrid1 - 4L
05 SepHSantander3 - 2W
Athletic Club: last 5
04 OctHExtremadura UD1 - 3L
02 OctASociedad1 - 0W
26 SepAArenas Club Getxo3 - 0W
20 SepHRC Deportivo Fabril2 - 2D
19 SepHAlaves0 - 0D
Head to head
28 Feb 2026Vallecano1 - 1Athletic Club
25 Aug 2025Athletic Club1 - 0Vallecano
13 Apr 2025Athletic Club3 - 1Vallecano
01 Dec 2024Vallecano1 - 2Athletic Club
25 May 2024Vallecano0 - 1Athletic Club
02 Dec 2023Athletic Club4 - 0Vallecano
05 Mar 2023Vallecano0 - 0Athletic Club
17 Sep 2022Athletic Club3 - 2Vallecano
23 Jan 2022Vallecano0 - 1Athletic Club
21 Sep 2021Athletic Club1 - 2Vallecano
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.6038.5%10 Oct 06:01
Bet3651X2draw3.4029.4%10 Oct 06:01
Bet3651X2home2.7037.0%10 Oct 06:01
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.9152.4%10 Oct 06:01
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.9152.4%10 Oct 06:01
SportyBet1X2away2.7136.9%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4129.3%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.8035.7%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.9651.0%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8952.9%10 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:24 UTC