| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 46.9% | 57% | -10.2% | |
| DC | Home or away | 73.8% | 83% | -9.0% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 62.7% | 75% | -12.6% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.5% | 63% | -4.4% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.2% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 32.5% | 27.2% | 40.3% |
| xgboost | 26.5% | 28.4% | 45.1% |
| logistic | 23.2% | 25.6% | 51.2% |
| Forfar | Spartans | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1337 | 1411 |
| Surface Elo | 1337 | 1411 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.17 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 2.17 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 7 W · 3 D |
| 07 Nov | H | Edinburgh City | 1 - 1 | D |
| 07 Nov | H | Edinburgh City | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Stirling | 2 - 5 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Stirling | 2 - 5 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Kelty Hearts | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Nov | A | Clyde | 2 - 3 | L |
| 07 Nov | A | Clyde | 2 - 3 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Livingston | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Annan Athletic | 3 - 2 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Annan Athletic | 3 - 2 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Spartans | 5 - 1 | Forfar |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Forfar | 1 - 1 | Spartans |
| 17 Mar 2026 | Spartans | 1 - 0 | Forfar |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Forfar | 1 - 1 | Spartans |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Spartans | 1 - 0 | Forfar |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Forfar | 0 - 2 | Spartans |
| 25 Feb 2025 | Spartans | 1 - 1 | Forfar |
| 09 Nov 2024 | Forfar | 0 - 3 | Spartans |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Spartans | 1 - 0 | Forfar |
| 30 Mar 2024 | Spartans | 1 - 0 | Forfar |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.75 | 57.1% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.90 | 25.6% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.59 | 62.9% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |