| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.4% | 62% | +0.4% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.1% | 38.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 55.8% | 44.2% |
| logistic | 72.7% | 27.3% |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Zizou Bergs | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2140 | 1888 |
| Surface Elo | 2140 | 1888 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.73 | 1.88 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.82 | 1.38 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.55 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 8 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 18 Oct | H | Rafael Jodar | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Rafael Jodar | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Arthur Gea | 1 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Jan Lennard Struff | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Rodrigo Alujas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Damir Dzumhur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Damir Dzumhur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Toby Samuel | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.69 | 59.2% | 26 Oct 06:15 |