OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
🇩🇪 Bundesliga · Saturday 07 November 2026, 14:30 UTC · finished
RB Leipzig 1.80 5 - 2 0.40 Augsburg
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 66.1%69%-2.7%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 85.3%87%-2.1%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 82.0%84%-1.7%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 69.6%78%-8.8%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 66.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson64.7%19.8%15.4%
xgboost72.4%14.3%13.4%
logistic65.3%21.2%13.5%
Inputs the models saw
RB LeipzigAugsburg
Elo (pre-match)17221594
Surface Elo17221594
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.800.40
Form trend-0.600.00
Season points per game1.881.13
Season goals for / game2.752.25
Season goals against / game1.381.88
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)6 W0 W · 4 D
RB Leipzig: last 5
04 NovHManchester City2 - 3L
31 OctASchalke 042 - 0W
31 OctASchalke 042 - 0W
27 OctARot-Weiss Essen2 - 1W
24 OctHElversberg4 - 0W
Augsburg: last 5
31 OctHFreiburg1 - 2L
31 OctHFreiburg1 - 2L
27 OctASG Sonnenhof Grossaspach4 - 2W
24 OctHUnion Berlin1 - 1D
24 OctHUnion Berlin1 - 1D
Head to head
07 Mar 2026RB Leipzig2 - 1Augsburg
25 Oct 2025Augsburg0 - 6RB Leipzig
14 Feb 2025Augsburg0 - 0RB Leipzig
28 Sep 2024RB Leipzig4 - 0Augsburg
10 Feb 2024Augsburg2 - 2RB Leipzig
16 Sep 2023RB Leipzig3 - 0Augsburg
15 Apr 2023RB Leipzig3 - 2Augsburg
22 Oct 2022Augsburg3 - 3RB Leipzig
08 May 2022RB Leipzig4 - 0Augsburg
15 Dec 2021Augsburg1 - 1RB Leipzig
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away6.2516.0%07 Nov 14:30
Bet3651X2draw5.2519.1%07 Nov 14:30
Bet3651X2home1.4270.4%07 Nov 14:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.2580.0%07 Nov 14:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under4.0025.0%07 Nov 14:30
SportyBet1X2away6.1516.3%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw5.8017.2%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.4668.5%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.2679.4%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under4.0025.0%07 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:01 UTC