| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.1% | 67% | -10.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 51.3% | 33.6% |
| xgboost | 68.7% | 29.7% |
| logistic | 62.3% | 37.7% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | Pittsburgh Penguins | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1628 | 1482 |
| Surface Elo | 1628 | 1482 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.78 | 0.38 |
| Season goals for / game | 4.00 | 3.38 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.44 | 3.38 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 16 Oct | H | Calgary Flames | 6 - 2 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Nashville Predators | 5 - 2 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Minnesota Wild | 2 - 4 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Los Angeles Kings | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Toronto Maple Leafs | 4 - 3 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Colorado Avalanche | 2 - 5 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Chicago Blackhawks | 3 - 5 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Dallas Stars | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Columbus Blue Jackets | 2 - 3 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Washington Capitals | 3 - 5 | L |
| 13 Mar 2026 | Vegas Golden Knights | 6 - 2 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| 01 Mar 2026 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 5 - 0 | Vegas Golden Knights |
| 11 Mar 2025 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 3 - 2 | Vegas Golden Knights |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Vegas Golden Knights | 4 - 0 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.50 | 66.7% | 18 Oct 00:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.78 | 36.0% | 18 Oct 00:20 |