| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 66.9% | 81% | -13.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 29.7% | 70.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 25.5% | 74.5% |
| logistic | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| Andrej Martin | Alexander Ritschard | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1529 | 1709 |
| Surface Elo | 1529 | 1709 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.14 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Svyatoslav Gulin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Tiago Torres | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Tiago Cacao | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Duje Ajdukovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Svyatoslav Gulin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Marco Trungelliti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Sumit Nagal | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Raul Brancaccio | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Carlos Taberner | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.24 | 80.7% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.85 | 26.0% | 19 Oct 06:15 |