| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 41.6% | 35% | +6.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 72.3% | 73% | -1.0% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 53.0% | 49% | +4.3% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.7% | 51% | +2.7% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.3% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.6% | 29.6% | 32.8% |
| xgboost | 33.7% | 33.8% | 32.4% |
| logistic | 34.6% | 29.4% | 36.0% |
| Napoli | Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1771 | 1843 |
| Surface Elo | 1771 | 1843 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 1 W · 5 D |
| 24 Oct | H | Spezia | 3 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Bodoe/Glimt | 4 - 3 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Venezia | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Bari | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Venezia | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Slovan Bratislava | 4 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Genoa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Genoa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Real Madrid | 3 - 4 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Como | 0 - 0 | D |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Napoli | 2 - 2 | Roma |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Roma | 0 - 1 | Napoli |
| 02 Feb 2025 | Roma | 1 - 1 | Napoli |
| 24 Nov 2024 | Napoli | 1 - 0 | Roma |
| 28 Apr 2024 | Napoli | 2 - 2 | Roma |
| 23 Dec 2023 | Roma | 2 - 0 | Napoli |
| 29 Jan 2023 | Napoli | 2 - 1 | Roma |
| 23 Oct 2022 | Roma | 0 - 1 | Napoli |
| 18 Apr 2022 | Napoli | 1 - 1 | Roma |
| 24 Oct 2021 | Roma | 0 - 0 | Napoli |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.62 | 38.2% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.43 | 29.1% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.89 | 34.6% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.87 | 53.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.98 | 50.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |