OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-30

🎾 tennis_atp_swiss_indoors · Friday 30 October 2026, 13:00 UTC · scheduled

Holger Rune 1.20 13:00 1.20 Valentin Vacherot

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	52.8%	44%	+8.3%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.0%	35.2%
xgboost	42.7%	57.3%
logistic	50.7%	49.3%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Holger Rune	Valentin Vacherot
Elo (pre-match)	1877	1907
Surface Elo	1877	1907
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.20	1.20
Form trend	-0.90	-0.90
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	1	1
Head-to-head (last 10)	0 W	1 W · 0 D

Holger Rune: last 5

28 Oct	A	Hubert Hurkacz	2 - 1	W
26 Oct	H	Quentin Halys	2 - 1	W
07 Oct	H	Daniel Altmaier	1 - 2	L
07 Oct	A	Daniel Altmaier	1 - 2	L
01 Oct	H	Kyrian Jacquet	0 - 2	L

Valentin Vacherot: last 5

29 Oct	H	Rafael Jodar	2 - 1	W
26 Oct	H	Mariano Navone	2 - 0	W
22 Oct	H	Luca Van Assche	1 - 2	L
22 Oct	A	Luca Van Assche	1 - 2	L
12 Oct	A	Tommy Paul	0 - 2	L

Head to head

01 Oct 2025

Holger Rune

1 - 2

Valentin Vacherot

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
1xBet	h2h	Holger Rune	1.68	59.5%	30 Oct 06:01
1xBet	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.23	44.8%	30 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Holger Rune	1.67	59.9%	30 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.20	45.5%	30 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Holger Rune	1.69	59.2%	30 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.25	44.4%	30 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Holger Rune	1.65	60.6%	30 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.15	46.5%	30 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Holger Rune	1.71	58.5%	30 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.36	42.4%	30 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Holger Rune	1.73	57.8%	30 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Valentin Vacherot	2.40	41.7%	30 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Holger Rune	1.68	59.5%	30 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.27	44.0%	30 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Holger Rune	1.66	60.2%	30 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.18	45.9%	30 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Holger Rune	1.66	60.2%	30 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.23	44.8%	30 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Holger Rune	1.65	60.6%	30 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.23	44.8%	30 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Holger Rune	1.66	60.2%	30 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.20	45.5%	30 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Holger Rune	1.71	58.5%	30 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.38	42.0%	30 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Holger Rune	1.73	57.8%	30 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Valentin Vacherot	2.40	41.7%	30 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Holger Rune	1.66	60.2%	30 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.18	45.9%	30 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Holger Rune	1.68	59.5%	30 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.30	43.5%	30 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Holger Rune	1.57	63.7%	30 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.12	47.2%	30 Oct 06:01
SportyBet	1X2	away	2.25	44.4%	30 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	1.69	59.2%	30 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Holger Rune	1.62	61.7%	30 Oct 06:01
Tipico	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.15	46.5%	30 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Holger Rune	1.60	62.5%	30 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.05	48.8%	30 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Holger Rune	1.65	60.6%	30 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.23	44.8%	30 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Holger Rune	1.65	60.6%	30 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.23	44.8%	30 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Holger Rune	1.67	59.9%	30 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.20	45.5%	30 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Holger Rune	1.70	58.8%	30 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.25	44.4%	30 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Holger Rune	1.64	61.0%	30 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.15	46.5%	30 Oct 06:01

Generated 2026-10-30 13:59 UTC