OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-14
⚽ England League One · Saturday 14 November 2026, 15:00 UTC · scheduled
Stevenage 1.40 15:00 1.60 Mansfield
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 41.1%41%+0.3%
DCHome or away 71.7%74%-2.5%
DNBHome (DNB) 56.8%57%-0.7%
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 53.4%56%-2.5%
BTTSBTTS no 50.7%no line
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson38.8%29.8%31.4%
xgboost40.6%28.9%30.5%
logistic38.2%30.4%31.3%
Inputs the models saw
StevenageMansfield
Elo (pre-match)15321538
Surface Elo15321538
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.401.60
Form trend0.400.30
Season points per game1.171.71
Season goals for / game1.001.71
Season goals against / game1.001.00
Rest days1410
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W4 W · 5 D
Stevenage: last 5
10 NovHFulham2 - 2D
07 NovAOxford Utd1 - 0W
31 OctALeicester2 - 2D
31 OctALeicester2 - 2D
24 OctHMilton Keynes Dons0 - 1L
Mansfield: last 5
10 NovHChesterfield3 - 5L
07 NovHMacclesfield3 - 0W
03 NovAWigan0 - 0D
03 NovAWigan0 - 0D
31 OctHNotts County0 - 2L
Head to head
24 Jan 2026Stevenage1 - 1Mansfield
13 Sep 2025Mansfield1 - 1Stevenage
08 Mar 2025Stevenage1 - 1Mansfield
19 Oct 2024Mansfield0 - 1Stevenage
22 Apr 2023Mansfield1 - 0Stevenage
10 Dec 2022Stevenage0 - 0Mansfield
26 Apr 2022Mansfield2 - 0Stevenage
13 Nov 2021Stevenage1 - 2Mansfield
17 Apr 2021Stevenage0 - 1Mansfield
10 Oct 2020Mansfield0 - 0Stevenage
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.0033.3%12 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.3030.3%12 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.4540.8%12 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.0050.0%12 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.7955.9%12 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 21:43 UTC