| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No prediction run for this match yet. | |||||
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| – | |||
| Derby | Bolton | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1454 | 1543 |
| Surface Elo | 1454 | 1543 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 1.21 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.79 | 1.36 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.07 | 1.86 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 2 W · 1 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Norwich | 0 - 4 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Norwich | 0 - 4 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Wealdstone | 2 - 2 | D |
| 02 Nov | A | Hull | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Millwall | 1 - 4 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Charlton | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Charlton | 1 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Bristol City | 2 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Bristol City | 2 - 3 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Middlesbrough | 1 - 5 | L |
| 16 Mar 2024 | Derby | 1 - 0 | Bolton |
| 02 Sep 2023 | Bolton | 2 - 1 | Derby |
| 21 Jan 2023 | Derby | 2 - 1 | Bolton |
| 27 Dec 2022 | Bolton | 0 - 0 | Derby |
| 13 Apr 2019 | Derby | 4 - 0 | Bolton |
| 29 Sep 2018 | Bolton | 1 - 0 | Derby |
| 07 Apr 2018 | Derby | 3 - 0 | Bolton |
| 19 Aug 2017 | Bolton | 1 - 2 | Derby |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.82 | 35.5% | 06 Nov 20:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 06 Nov 20:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 06 Nov 20:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.80 | 55.6% | 06 Nov 20:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 06 Nov 20:00 |