| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 47.5% | 57% | -9.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.7% | 79% | -3.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 62.4% | 75% | -12.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.6% | 58% | +1.6% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 59.4% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 32.9% | 27.3% | 39.8% |
| xgboost | 26.4% | 22.0% | 51.6% |
| logistic | 26.0% | 26.5% | 47.5% |
| Auxerre | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1606 | 1718 |
| Surface Elo | 1606 | 1718 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.11 | 1.89 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.44 | 1.78 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.56 | 1.11 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 3 W · 4 D |
| 01 Nov | A | Strasbourg | 1 - 5 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Strasbourg | 1 - 5 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Le Mans | 1 - 1 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Le Mans | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | Le Havre | 3 - 1 | W |
| 07 Nov | H | La Roche Vendee Football | 0 - 1 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Monaco | 3 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Monaco | 3 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | FC Fleury 91 | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Lens | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Feb 2026 | Auxerre | 0 - 0 | Paris FC |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Paris FC | 1 - 1 | Auxerre |
| 04 May 2024 | Auxerre | 2 - 0 | Paris FC |
| 07 Oct 2023 | Paris FC | 0 - 2 | Auxerre |
| 01 Feb 2022 | Auxerre | 1 - 2 | Paris FC |
| 16 Aug 2021 | Paris FC | 1 - 1 | Auxerre |
| 13 Mar 2021 | Auxerre | 0 - 0 | Paris FC |
| 21 Nov 2020 | Paris FC | 0 - 3 | Auxerre |
| 22 Nov 2019 | Paris FC | 2 - 0 | Auxerre |
| 29 Mar 2019 | Paris FC | 3 - 0 | Auxerre |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.57 | 63.7% | 07 Nov 18:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.33 | 23.1% | 07 Nov 18:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 5.25 | 19.1% | 07 Nov 18:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 07 Nov 18:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 07 Nov 18:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.76 | 56.8% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.13 | 24.2% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.74 | 21.1% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.72 | 58.1% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |