| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 79.8% | 87% | -6.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 73.2% | 26.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 88.4% | 11.6% |
| logistic | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| Francisco Comesana | Juan Estevez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1660 | 1439 |
| Surface Elo | 1660 | 1439 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 21 | 22 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Juan Estevez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Sep | A | Flavio Cobolli | 2 - 3 | L |
| 25 Aug | A | Daniel Altmaier | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Yibing Wu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Francisco Comesana | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Federico Iannaccone | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Benito Sanchez Martinez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Andrej Nedic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Francisco Comesana | 2 - 1 | Juan Estevez |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.65 | 21.5% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.17 | 85.5% | 22 Sep 06:15 |