| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 75.0% | 83% | -8.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 62.5% | 37.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 85.1% | 14.8% |
| logistic | 65.3% | 34.7% |
| Norbert Gombos | Robin Catry | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1588 | 1435 |
| Surface Elo | 1588 | 1435 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Pierre Hugues Herbert | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Mickael Kaouk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Sandro Kopp | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Chun Hsin Tseng | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Gabriel Gomez | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Jul | H | Yi Zhou | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Mar | A | Beibit Zhukayev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Mar | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Mar | A | Alejandro Hayen | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.30 | 23.3% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.20 | 83.3% | 12 Oct 06:15 |