| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.5% | 60% | -3.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 33.3% | 51.9% |
| xgboost | 49.1% | 50.1% |
| logistic | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| San Jose Sharks | Pittsburgh Penguins | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1422 | 1444 |
| Surface Elo | 1422 | 1444 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.55 | 3.22 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.55 | 3.61 |
| Rest days | 2 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | H | New York Islanders | 3 - 2 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Dallas Stars | 3 - 4 | L |
| 07 Nov | A | Minnesota Wild | 1 - 4 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Los Angeles Kings | 2 - 7 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Calgary Flames | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Nov | A | Anaheim Ducks | 2 - 5 | L |
| 08 Nov | A | Los Angeles Kings | 5 - 2 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Boston Bruins | 2 - 6 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Vegas Golden Knights | 2 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Montréal Canadiens | 4 - 5 | L |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 5 - 6 | San Jose Sharks |
| 19 Oct 2025 | San Jose Sharks | 0 - 3 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| 28 Jan 2025 | San Jose Sharks | 2 - 1 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| 17 Nov 2024 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 4 - 3 | San Jose Sharks |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 2.32 | 43.1% | 12 Nov 00:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.68 | 59.5% | 12 Nov 00:20 |