| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.9% | 61% | -9.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 77.4% | 80% | -2.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 67.5% | 79% | -11.4% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.0% | 65% | -0.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 63.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 53.8% | 22.2% | 24.0% |
| xgboost | 50.3% | 23.6% | 26.1% |
| logistic | 48.6% | 26.8% | 24.6% |
| Sociedad | Levante | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1646 | 1620 |
| Surface Elo | 1646 | 1620 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.70 |
| Season points per game | 1.78 | 1.11 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.89 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.89 | 1.89 |
| Rest days | 7 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 3 W · 3 D |
| 25 Oct | H | Deportivo Alaves C | 2 - 2 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Las Palmas | 0 - 1 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Lillestroem SK | 6 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Malaga | 5 - 2 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Malaga | 5 - 2 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Athletic Club | 3 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Athletic Club | 3 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Crevillente Deportivo | 0 - 0 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | SC Torrevieja CF | 4 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | La Coruna | 1 - 1 | D |
| 04 Apr 2026 | Sociedad | 2 - 0 | Levante |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Levante | 1 - 1 | Sociedad |
| 06 May 2022 | Levante | 2 - 1 | Sociedad |
| 28 Aug 2021 | Sociedad | 1 - 0 | Levante |
| 07 Mar 2021 | Sociedad | 1 - 0 | Levante |
| 19 Dec 2020 | Levante | 2 - 1 | Sociedad |
| 06 Jul 2020 | Levante | 1 - 1 | Sociedad |
| 30 Oct 2019 | Sociedad | 1 - 2 | Levante |
| 15 Mar 2019 | Sociedad | 1 - 1 | Levante |
| 09 Nov 2018 | Levante | 1 - 3 | Sociedad |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 5.00 | 20.0% | 25 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 5.00 | 20.0% | 25 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.53 | 65.4% | 25 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.36 | 73.5% | 25 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.20 | 31.2% | 25 Oct 17:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.32 | 18.8% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.76 | 21.0% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.61 | 62.1% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.48 | 67.6% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.75 | 36.4% | 25 Oct 06:15 |