| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.1% | 67% | -0.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 67.5% | 32.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 59.7% | 40.2% |
| logistic | 60.3% | 39.7% |
| Tom Gentzsch | Niels Visker | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1669 | 1520 |
| Surface Elo | 1669 | 1520 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 18 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Damir Dzumhur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Georgii Kravchenko | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Niels Visker | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Enrico Dalla Valle | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Tom Gentzsch | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Vargiu, Davide | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Marko Topo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Niels Visker | 1 - 2 | Tom Gentzsch |
| 17 Nov 2025 | Niels Visker | 2 - 0 | Tom Gentzsch |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.50 | 66.7% | 13 Oct 06:15 |