OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ League Two · Saturday 17 October 2026, 11:30 UTC · finished
Shrewsbury 1.60 1 - 0 0.60 Bristol Rvs
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 47.4%45%+2.0%✗ miss
DCHome or away 76.3%78%-1.4%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 60.1%63%-3.0%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 53.2%57%-3.9%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 53.6%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson31.1%26.8%42.1%
xgboost38.2%21.5%40.3%
logistic27.2%29.1%43.7%
Inputs the models saw
ShrewsburyBristol Rvs
Elo (pre-match)13681462
Surface Elo13681462
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.600.60
Form trend0.400.00
Season points per game1.101.50
Season goals for / game0.901.50
Season goals against / game1.501.70
Rest days66
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W6 W · 3 D
Shrewsbury: last 5
10 OctHExeter0 - 1L
10 OctHExeter0 - 1L
06 OctHStockport0 - 2L
03 OctAGrimsby2 - 1W
03 OctAGrimsby2 - 1W
Bristol Rvs: last 5
10 OctHBarnet1 - 3L
03 OctACrewe1 - 3L
26 SepHExeter1 - 0W
19 SepAGillingham0 - 3L
12 SepAGrimsby0 - 2L
Head to head
17 Mar 2026Bristol Rvs1 - 0Shrewsbury
01 Jan 2026Shrewsbury0 - 3Bristol Rvs
04 Mar 2025Shrewsbury0 - 0Bristol Rvs
22 Oct 2024Bristol Rvs1 - 0Shrewsbury
01 Apr 2024Bristol Rvs0 - 0Shrewsbury
16 Sep 2023Shrewsbury0 - 2Bristol Rvs
02 May 2023Shrewsbury2 - 1Bristol Rvs
27 Aug 2022Bristol Rvs1 - 1Shrewsbury
27 Feb 2021Bristol Rvs2 - 1Shrewsbury
20 Oct 2020Shrewsbury0 - 1Bristol Rvs
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.2045.5%17 Oct 12:30
Bet3651X2draw3.3030.3%17 Oct 12:30
Bet3651X2home3.1032.3%17 Oct 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over2.0050.0%17 Oct 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.8055.6%17 Oct 12:30
Generated 2026-10-30 19:22 UTC