| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.9% | 76% | -15.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 63.3% | 36.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| logistic | failed: ValueError | |
| xgboost | failed: ValueError | |
| Michael Zheng | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1749 | 1577 |
| Surface Elo | 1749 | 1577 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 32 | 26 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Sep | H | Mitchell Krueger | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Sep | H | Trevor Svajda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Evan Zhu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Mitchell Krueger | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Bryce Nakashima | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Sep | A | Federico Agustin Gomez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Stefan Kozlov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Michael Mmoh | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Michael Zheng | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Darwin Blanch | 2 - 0 | Michael Zheng |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.30 | 30.3% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.31 | 76.3% | 19 Sep 06:16 |